Let's Predict the 69th Golden Globes Movie Winners, Shall We? Who Will Win, Who Must Win, and Yes, We Care! 


Handicapping the Golden Globes is like predicting the next move of your frenemy HA! You love them, but sometimes, you can't understand what the heck they're doing (I even wrote an impassioned letter to the Hollywood Foreign Press, but no one listened he-he-he). I love the Globes, and I certainly enjoy their ballsy move of hiring Ricky Gervais (don't you just love his devil horns?) to host yet again after last year's controversial awards gala where the comedian pretty much offended everyone in Hollywood, much to our entertainment.

So welcome back Mister Ricky Gervais! You are one of the reasons I will be glued in front of my television for 3 hours and beyond (oh yeah, it's 5pm Pacific, 8pm Eastern on NBC). And I will be blogging like a madman here, on Facebook, and on Twitter! (cue in evil laughter!)

So without further adieu, let's predict the movie categories of the 69th Golden Globes (see the full nominees right here). We love all the nominees, but yup, sometimes, the Globes can throw a few surprises.

1. BEST MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA
a. THE DESCENDANTS
Ad Hominem Enterprises; Fox Searchlight Pictures
b. THE HELP
DreamWorks Pictures, Participant Media; Touchstone Pictures
c. HUGO
Paramount Pictures presents a GK Films Production; Paramount Pictures
d. THE IDES OF MARCH
Columbia Pictures, Cross Creek Pictures, Exclusive Media Group, Crystal City
Entertainment; Sony Pictures Releasing
e. MONEYBALL
Columbia Pictures; Sony Pictures Releasing International
f. WAR HORSE
DreamWorks Pictures; Touchstone Pictures

Will Win: "The Help" is getting help from various award-giving bodies, most recently from the Critics' Choice Movie Awards where Viola Davis and Octavia Spencer emerged atop the acting categories. And it was a big summer hit so the Globes will pay attention.

Should Win: "The Descendants" is an honest-to-goodness family drama that brilliantly eschewed melodrama for an honest-to-goodness look at a tale of a man in need of redemption! I simply love this movie!

2. BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA
a. GLENN CLOSE ALBERT NOBBS
b. VIOLA DAVIS THE HELP
c. ROONEY MARA THE GIRL WITH THE DRAGON
TATTOO
d. MERYL STREEP THE IRON LADY
e. TILDA SWINTON WE NEED TO TALK ABOUT KEVIN

Will win: The Critics' Choice blessed Viola Davis and I think the Hollywood Foreign Press will follow.

Should win: Tilda Swinton gave a mesmerizing performance as a mother who will do anything to understand her child...brilliant!

3. BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA
a. GEORGE CLOONEY THE DESCENDANTS
b. LEONARDO DICAPRIO J. EDGAR
c. MICHAEL FASSBENDER SHAME
d. RYAN GOSLING THE IDES OF MARCH
e. BRAD PITT MONEYBALL

Will win and should win is George Clooney for "The Descendants." I admired Leonardo DiCaprio in "J. Edgar," and I fell in love with the raw emotion of Michael Fassbender in "Shame." And yes, I believe Ryan Gosling is a gifted actor, and Brad Pitt threw us a curve ball with not just "Moneyball" but "The Tree of Life" as well.

But Clooney gave a brilliant performance in "The Descendants" whose character's wife threw him a curve ball upon her death. Whether he's in mourning, or sleuthing, or bonding with his family, Clooney gives his Matt King character a deeper ounce of pathos and enough charm to carry the film from start to finish.

4. BEST MOTION PICTURE – COMEDY OR MUSICAL
a. 50/50
Summit Entertainment and Mandate Pictures; Summit Entertainment
b. THE ARTIST
a La Petite Reine – Studio 37 – La Classe Americaine – JD Prod- France3 Cinema -
Jouror Production-uFilms coproduction; The Weinstein Company
c. BRIDESMAIDS
Universal Pictures, Relativity Media, Apatow Productions; Universal Pictures
d. MIDNIGHT IN PARIS
A Mediapro, Versatil Cinema & Gravier Production; Sony Pictures Classics
e. MY WEEK WITH MARILYN
The Weinstein Company; The Weinstein Company

Why oh why did the Globes put "The Artist" in this category? Yes there's enough comedy and music in the film but it's really a drama. And selfishly, I'm torn! I love "Bridesmaids" to win but I love "The Artist" too! What to do, what to do?

But in the end, "The Artist" will win, shall win, and is a winner in my book!

5. BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE – COMEDY OR
MUSICAL

a. JODIE FOSTER CARNAGE
b. CHARLIZE THERON YOUNG ADULT
c. KRISTEN WIIG BRIDESMAIDS
d. MICHELLE WILLIAMS MY WEEK WITH MARILYN
e. KATE WINSLET CARNAGE

Same reason as above! "My Week with Marilyn" is neither a comedy nor a musical and I love Kristen Wiig in "Bridesmaids," heck I love all the nominees, BUT Michelle Williams must win and will win!!! Her performance was not academic (my gripe about Meryl Streep's learned performance in "The Iron Lady" -- she's THE best living, breathing American actress we have but I couldn't quite connect with her Margaret Thatcher performance, perhaps it's the movie itself), and Williams, instead of imitating Marilyn Monroe gave a raw, untarnished, unvarnished, characterization of the icon and you know how hard that is to do!

6. BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE – COMEDY
OR MUSICAL

a. JEAN DUJARDIN THE ARTIST
b. BRENDAN GLEESON THE GUARD
c. JOSEPH GORDON-LEVITT 50/50
d. RYAN GOSLING CRAZY, STUPID, LOVE.
e. OWEN WILSON MIDNIGHT IN PARIS

Will win: Ryan Gosling because he's awesome in our eyes, and because he's a gifted actor!

Should win: I'm torn! I love Jean Dujardin in "The Artist" but my heart belongs to Joseph Gordon-Levitt for his amazing performance as a cancer patient in "50/50." Part comedy, part drama with a whole lot of heart!

7. BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
a. THE ADVENTURES OF TINTIN
Paramount Pictures/Columbia Pictures/ Hemisphere Capital/Amblin
Entertainment/Wingnut Films Production/ Kennedy/Marshall Production A Steven
Spielberg Film; Paramount Pictures and Columbia Pictures
b. ARTHUR CHRISTMAS
Columbia Pictures & Sony Pictures Animation; Sony Pictures Releasing
International
c. CARS 2
Walt Disney Pictures, Pixar Animation Studios; Walt Disney Pictures
d. PUSS IN BOOTS
DreamWorks Animation; Paramount Pictures
e. RANGO
Paramount Pictures and Nickelodeon Movies present A Blind Wink / GK Films
Production; Paramount Pictures

Will win and should win is "Rango!" Brilliant animation, and a thought-provoking plot about a lizard who wants to be somebody! Don't we all?

8. BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
a. THE FLOWERS OF WAR (CHINA)
(Jing Ling Shi San Chai)
New Pictures Film Company; New Pictures Film Company
b. IN THE LAND OF BLOOD AND HONEY (USA)
GK Films; FilmDistrict
c. THE KID WITH A BIKE (BELGIUM)
(Le Gamin au Velo)
Les Films du Fleuve; Sundance Selects
d. A SEPARATION (IRAN)
(Jodaeiye Nader az Simin)
Asghar Farhadi; Sony Pictures Classics
e. THE SKIN I LIVE IN (SPAIN)
(La piel que habito)
El Deseo D.A., S.L.U.; Sony Pictures Classics

Will win and should win is "A Separation!" Yup, it's a bit melodramatic but the subject deserves a melodramatic structure. Watch this film and mourn!

9. BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A
MOTION PICTURE

a. BERENICE BEJO THE ARTIST
b. JESSICA CHASTAIN THE HELP
c. JANET MCTEER ALBERT NOBBS
d. OCTAVIA SPENCER THE HELP
e. SHAILENE WOODLEY THE DESCENDANTS

Will win: Octavia Spencer for "The Help"

Should win: Jessica Chastain, but she should have been nominated in either "The Tree of Life" or "Take Shelter." But I also agree that she was amazing in "The Help." Heck, she was amazing in anything she starred in!

10. BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A
MOTION PICTURE

a. KENNETH BRANAGH MY WEEK WITH MARILYN
b. ALBERT BROOKS DRIVE
c. JONAH HILL MONEYBALL
d. VIGGO MORTENSEN A DANGEROUS METHOD
e. CHRISTOPHER PLUMMER BEGINNERS

Will win and should win is Christopher Plummer in "Beginners." I don't belong in the Albert Brooks bandwagon. Don't get me wrong, I admire his crime boss performance in "Drive" but I think Plummer's deeply torn gay father/husband acting in "Beginners" deserves recognition. Plus, this will be more like a "career award" for the legendary actor.

11. BEST DIRECTOR – MOTION PICTURE
a. WOODY ALLEN MIDNIGHT IN PARIS
b. GEORGE CLOONEY THE IDES OF MARCH
c. MICHEL HAZANAVICIUS THE ARTIST
d. ALEXANDER PAYNE THE DESCENDANTS
e. MARTIN SCORSESE HUGO

Will win and should win is Michel Hazanavicius for "The Artist." The film, deemed gimmicky in the surface, actually exceeded expectations. I worship Martin Scorsese, but between both movies honoring cinema's golden history, my heart belongs to "The Artist."

12. BEST SCREENPLAY – MOTION PICTURE
a. WOODY ALLEN MIDNIGHT IN PARIS
b. GEORGE CLOONEY, GRANT THE IDES OF MARCH
HESLOV, BEAU WILLIMON
c. MICHEL HAZANAVICIUS THE ARTIST
d. ALEXANDER PAYNE, THE DESCENDANTS
NAT FAXON, JIM RASH
e. STEVEN ZAILLIAN, MONEYBALL
AARON SORKIN

Will win and should win is "Moneyball" by Steven Zaillian and Aaron Sorkin. Even if you don't care for baseball, like me, you will embrace the movie's heart.

13. BEST ORIGINAL SCORE – MOTION PICTURE
a. LUDOVIC BOURCE THE ARTIST
b. ABEL KORZENIOWSKI W.E.
c. TRENT REZNOR, THE GIRL WITH THE DRAGON
ATTICUS ROSS TATTOO
d. HOWARD SHORE HUGO
e. JOHN WILLIAMS WAR HORSE

Will win: "The Artist"

Should win: "The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo"

But honestly? Where's "Hanna" or "Drive?" I love the musical scores of those movies! The Chemical Brothers gave "Hanna" its much needed pace while Cliff Martinez made his music an important character in "Drive."

14. BEST ORIGINAL SONG – MOTION PICTURE
a. “HELLO HELLO” — GNOMEO & JULIET
Music by: Elton John
Lyrics by: Bernie Taupin
b. “THE KEEPER” — MACHINE GUN PREACHER
Music & Lyrics by: Chris Cornell
c. “LAY YOUR HEAD DOWN” — ALBERT NOBBS
Music by: Brian Byrne
Lyrics by: Glenn Close
d. “THE LIVING PROOF” — THE HELP
Music by: Mary J. Blige, Thomas Newman, Harvey Mason, Jr.
Lyrics by: Mary J. Blige, Harvey Mason, Jr., Damon Thomas
e. “MASTERPIECE” — W.E.
Music & Lyrics by: Madonna, Julie Frost, Jimmy Harry

Okay I love Madonna, but in honoring her in this category meant ignoring "The Muppets" which should have been nominated and should win!

So, "Gnomeo and Juliet" will win, Elton John hello!, but Mary J. Blige rocks, so if "The Help" wins, I'll be happy!

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